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1
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2
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- Environment and management
- Season, region, herd, age, milk yield
- Estrus detection and / or synchronization
- Voluntary waiting period
- Fertility of bull (ERCR in USA)
- Genes of cow (Dau. Pregnancy Rate)
- Interaction of bull’s and cow’s genes
- Inbreeding, recessives (CVM, DUMPS)
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3
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4
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5
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6
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7
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- The percentage of nonpregnant cows that become pregnant during each
21-day time period
- Pregnancy rate < conception rate
- Cows that are not cycling
- Estrus not expressed or detected
- Typical pregnancy rates
- 20% if calving interval is 14.3 months
- 25% if calving interval is 13.6 months
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8
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9
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10
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11
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12
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- Holstein data in evaluation
- 44 million lactation records since 1960
- 17 million cows
- Lactations 1-5 are included
- Reliability for recently proven bulls
- 59% REL for Daughter Pregnancy Rate
- 61% REL for Productive Life
- 69% REL for Somatic Cell Score
- 85% REL for Milk Yield
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13
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- Animal model, introduced Feb 2003
- Same programs as yield, PL, SCS
- Compare cows within herd, season, and age
- Convert days open to pregnancy rate = (233 – DO) / 4
- Parameter estimates used:
- Heritability = 4%
- Repeatability = 11%
- Sire-by-herd interaction = 4%
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14
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- Earlier evaluation of cow fertility
- Records in progress used at 130 instead of 250 days in milk
- Pregnancy exams used in prediction
- 6% gain in REL of DPR for new bulls
- Fertility used to predict longevity
- 4% gain in REL of PL for recent bulls
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15
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- Productive Life introduced in USA in 1994 to select for longevity
- Genetic correlations with other traits:
- Daughter pregnancy rate = .59
- Somatic cell score = -.35
- Udder composite = .30
- Daughter calving ease = -.24
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16
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17
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- Fertility expenses per day open
- Heat detection ($20 / lact H .005) = $.10
- Semen ($15 / unit + $5 labor) *.025 = $.50
- Pregnancy exam ($10 / exam)*.012 = $.12
- Lactations too long or short = $.75
- Value of DPR as % of total economic value
- 7% in Net Merit since August 2003
- 5% in TPI since February 2005, also
- -2% for dairy form in TPI since February 2005
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18
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19
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20
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21
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22
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23
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24
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25
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- Fertility traits are less heritable but more variable than yield and
type
- Selection for high yield reduces fertility
- Selection for longevity increases fertility
- Cow fertility traits receive 2% to 13% of total selection in many
countries
- Bulls that sire good fertility are available
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